Economic and Real Estate Update

It’s all about jobs

The country’s unemployment at the height of the 2008 recession was 10% and took nearly 5 years to get back down to a ‘normal’ level (~5%).  During the Pandemic the unemployment rate spiked to 15% but is already back to 5.8%.  The current recession has disproportionally impacted those at the lower level of our society, many of whom work in service sector. 

US Unemployment - Nevin.png

California is still the Golden State

  • California leads the nation in business starts 

  • California received more than 50% of the national venture capital funding in 2020  

  • Californians filed 442,324 applications for new business licenses in 2020 – a 21.7% increase over 2020

  

America’s Finest City 

Our city has added 55,000 jobs since the beginning of the 2021, and the current unemployment rate is 6.30%.  During the pandemic half of all job losses are in leisure and hospitality industry, but construction jobs are up 4.9%.

San Diego is one of the Top 5 convention markets in the US Conventions generate majority of revenue for hospitality industry.  Our Convention Center will reopen for conferences in August. 

 

 San Diego Home Sales 

 It’s great time for sellers, not for buyers.  New home construction is up in San Diego County and the resale Market is also up.

Detached Home Statistics

  • 0.9 months supply

  • Average sells at 105% of list price

  • Median sales price of $879,000

  • +25% change year-over-year

Attached Home Statistics

  • 0.8 months supply

  • Average sells at 103.6% of list price

  • Median sales price of $553,500

  • +44% change year-over-year

 

About our Speaker

AlanNevin

Director of Economic and Market Research, Xpera Group

Mr. Nevin has an extensive background in real estate economics, lending and market analysis. He serves the development, investment, legal and public agency communities with residential and commercial real estate valuation, feasibility and real estate advisory services. Alan also provides forensic economics services for construction and real estate litigation.

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